Probabilities Associated with Precise and Vague Forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Description Logics with Approximate Definitions - Precise Modeling of Vague Concepts
We extend traditional Description Logics (DL) with a simple mechanism to handle approximate concept definitions in a qualitative way. Often, for example in medical applications, concepts are not definable in a crisp way but can fairly exhaustively be constrained through a particular suband a particular super-concept. We introduce such lower and upper approximations based on rough-set semantics,...
متن کاملA Precise Semantics for Vague Diagrams
Informal vague causal diagrams (VCDs) are a common technique for illustrating and sharing expert intuitions. Normally, VCDs are viewed as precursors to other modelling techniques which necessitates further knowledge acquisition. Here we explore what semantics can be granted to VCDs, without having to request more information from the expert(s) or the domain. The impreciseness of VCDs typically ...
متن کاملConditional Tornado Probabilities from Ruc-2 Forecasts
Accurately predicting the timing and location of tornadoes with lead times of more than a few tens of minutes will continue to be difficult, despite recent advances in numerical weather prediction. Tornadoes and the associated thunderstorms are smallscale phenomena, and the theory of chaos strongly suggests that such events will have a very short period of predictability (Lorenz 1969; Islam et ...
متن کاملVAGUE RINGS AND VAGUE IDEALS
In this paper, various elementary properties of vague rings are obtained. Furthermore, the concepts of vague subring, vague ideal, vague prime ideal and vague maximal ideal are introduced, and the validity of some relevant classical results in these settings are investigated.
متن کاملPrecise Probabilities for Hash Collision Paths
We describe a generally applicable methodology to determine the probability of given differential (near-)collision paths in MDtype hash collision attacks (cf. [WY,WYiY,Kli2]). For MD5 this program is worked out explicitly. The probabilities of three (near-)collision paths are computed. Experiments confirm these results.
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0894-3257
DOI: 10.1002/bdm.2021